Economic Analysis and Indicators

Enrollment managers and skilled workers have been growing. In contrast, unskilled workers and employees are in decline by 5% and 7.3%. Officers, employees

The temporary employment declined by 0.4% in October compared to October 2010, with a decline in all major sectors except industry, according to the barometer Prism job on Monday. Temporary employment is considered an indicator of future trends in the labor market.

In October, the number of executives and middle management and skilled workers have been growing 5.9% and 5.5%. In contrast, unskilled workers and employees are in decline by 5% and 7.3%. If the industry increased its use of temporary staff in October compared with October 2010 (1.8%), the other major sectors were down: construction (-0.6%), transport (-0.8 %), services (-4.4%) and trade (-4.5%).

These national statistics mask large regional differences: two regions stand out in terms of increase, Midi-Pyrenees (12.5%) and Haute-Normandie (+10.6%). However, in the Ile-de-France, the enrollment decline is temporary 7.3% in October over a year. There was also a decrease in Limousin (-7%) in the Languedoc-Roussillon (-6%) in Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur (-5.5%), Britain (-4.5%).

This barometer is determined by the group Umanis from the statistics provided by a panel of temporary employment representative, as Prism over 80% of temporary employment.

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European shares rebounded Friday after several sessions of decline, especially after a Reuters information that the Member States of the European Union are considering, as part of the future permanent mechanism for stability of the euro area, to give to involve the private sector in the financial rescue of a country.

This discussion is part of wider ongoing trade reform on the European Treaty, on which Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel agreed Thursday in Strasbourg, it was said sources familiar with the matter.It does not however affect the participation of banks and insurers in the second EU aid package to Greece, where they pledged to remove 50% of their claims to the country.

The information bounces European markets, which operated in the red after a disappointing auction of Italy.

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According to the budget minister, Valérie Pécresse, the fight against fraud and tax evasion was never as effective as that from the arrival in the five-year of Nicolas Sarkozy. Info or intox? The budget minister Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse presented on Thursday a report on the work of tax administration in recent years to fight against fraud and evasion, "a government priority," says the Minister of Budget. She said the government has given the IRS means that he had never been given. It concludes that the fight against tax fraud, reinforced by 60 new measures, has never been effective since 2007. What is it really?

In 2010, the results of tax audits totaled 16 billion euros, against 15 billion in 2009. Since 2007, the fight against tax evasion would have to get 50 billion euros in total, according to Bercy.Please note, these figures represent the amounts of fees and penalties notified. But all is not returned into the coffers of the state. According Drezet Vincent, the union unified national taxes (SNUI), the effective rate of recovery of tax claims is 50% after two years and 75% after four years.

A priori, this figure of 16 billion is quite a good result. A report of the Council of samples required (CPO) estimates because tax evasion between 20.5 and 25.6 billion euros a year. A rate of fraud detected from 60 to 80%. But the report of CPO, which dates from 2007, did not take into account tax evasion. Other estimates seem closer to reality: that of the European Commission, which evaluates tax evasion in France between 2 and 2.5% of GDP (40 to 50 billion euros), or that of which SNUI provides a range of 42 and 51 billion euros.

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Democrats and Republicans were unable to agree on a plan to reduce U.S. debt, which has just reached 15,000 billion. The reasons and consequences of this blockage. The President of the United States Barack Obama

Another failure of the Congress on U.S. debt. The "super-committee" responsible for reducing the debt of the United States announced Monday does not come to an agreement between left and right, after two months of effort. Congress had established a commission charged in August to decide on a plan to reduce debt. Composed of twelve members of Congress – six Republicans and six Democrats – the "super-committee" had a debt relief that comes from abyssal exceed 15,000 billion (you can see it evolve in real time on the site www.usdebtclock. org). The twelve were elected and agree on a plan to save 1,200 billion over ten years.The six Democrats proposed a plan for 2900 includes 1,300 billion billion tax increase, the six Republicans on the other hand opted for a plan of 2,200 billion euros, with "only" 200 billion of tax increases. Never reach a consensus after two months of negotiations.

Why the lock?

This blockage occurs less than a year of presidential elections scheduled for November 2012. "We are fully retracted into the political debate for 2012, especially with the right wing of the Republican Party who has taken a lot of power in the party," said Christine Rifflart Economist at OFCE. "And the Republicans have an interest in playing the firmness vis-à-vis Barack Obama that it is out of question to pass up the deficits."

For it is these Republicans who blocked the process.

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The richest woman in Germany, Susanne Klatten, has strengthened its position in the capital of SGL Carbon, distancing and Volkswagen in the race to control the "champion" of carbon fibers.

BMW, Klatten and that his family is a major shareholder, said on Friday hold 15.2% of SGL, participation in addition to the 29% already held by the German heir.

The action SGL Carbon gained over 7% in early trading Friday on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, and the title took 5.4% to 45.46 euros in mid-morning.

"The lightweight construction will play a role in the future more and more important in the automotive industry.Our stake in SGL Group is a logical step that will further strengthen a successful cooperation, "said BMW's chief financial officer, Friedrich Eichiner in a statement released Friday.

SGL Carbon raises for the past several months the lusts of Susanne Klatten, Volkswagen and engineering group Voith.

"This is a power struggle with no economic logic," said one German analyst on condition of anonymity, noting that several competitors SGL Carbon were able to provide manufacturers of carbon fibers.

In exchange, the action SGL has won over 60% since the beginning of the year while the DAX index of the average values ​​gave up 5%.

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The negotiations in Washington to skate "super-committee" Parliamentary expected U.S. fiscal consolidation, which has only four days to reach agreement.

The 12 members – six Democrats and six Republicans – of the commission to make public their proposals Monday before the vote on November 23.

Democrats and Republicans say they do not want to concede on their principles, but continue to negotiate behind the scenes. Veterans of parliamentary jousting believe that an agreement will be, as often found in the last hours.

"I think the super-committee will not surprise us.They will either come to an impasse, or a minimal agreement, "said the president of the St. Louis Fed, James Bullard.

The public debt of the United States has taken the helm Thursday of 15,000 billion.

The twelve elected officials must propose measures to reduce the deficit of a minimum of 1,200 billion (890 billion) over the next ten years.

If they fail, Washington's budget will automatically be reduced by this amount, the budget cuts on an equal military and federal programs. This principle was included in the agreement reached on July 31 by the two parties to raise the U.S. debt ceiling.

The Republicans, supporters of a strong Pentagon, seem most concerned about this prospect.

Members of the government increasing returns to defend their efforts to strengthen the note "triple A" of France against the doubts of financial markets and opposition critics on their management since 2007.

The pressure on France continued Wednesday, the yield spread between German and French debt is now at record levels, as insurance against default risk, credit default swaps (CDS).

The Franco-German spread fell slightly to about 180 basis points, remaining at levels not seen since the early 1990s, and the level of CDS surpassed 225 points, up sharply since early November.

At about 3.6%, the yield of French loans to 10 years was lower than in April, but jumped nearly 50% since its low in September of 2011.

The finance minister, Baroin, assured that France would hold its target of reducing the deficit even if growth in 2012 was two times lower than expected.

"Even at 0.5% growth, we might face," he says in an interview with Les Echos on Wednesday.

France has committed to reduce its public deficit to 5.7% of domestic product in late 2011 to 4.5% end of 2012.

According to the German Chancellor, the current generation is facing "a testing history," and this is "to show that Europe can reach a turning point" with this financial crisis. German Chancellor Angela Merkel.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel said Monday at the Conservative party conference that Europe knew "may" with the debt crisis "its time the most difficult since the Second World War." "Europe (live) one of the most difficult times since the Second World War, perhaps even its most difficult hour," she warned at the conference of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) to Leipzig in the former GDR.

"Every generation has its political challenge," said the Chancellor, noting that the generation of post-war Chancellor Konrad Adenauer had built Europe and that of Helmut Kohl German unity and European.

The rating agency claims to have taken action following the announcement of a wrong note degradation of France. She said also cooperate with the authorities have launched investigations. The rating agency Standard

The rating agency Standard & Poor's, which announced Thursday by mistake that France had lost its "AAA" rating, said on Friday it had taken steps to avoid repeating such a blunder, due to a confusion of his computer system. She said also cooperate with the authorities have launched investigations.In a statement, S & P states that it "determined that the wrong message yesterday (Thursday) on a gradient is a technical error completely independent of the sovereign rating of France and took immediate steps to prevent a similar error to reproduce ".

The agency explains that the error was triggered by a reassessment of the risks associated with banking sectors in different countries. For France, this criterion has been changed to "Not available" and "the system has erroneously interpreted this change as a degradation + +, which triggered the sending of a message to a limited number of subscribers registered to receive email alerts, "she said.

François Fillon has announced plans to reduce the growth of health spending to 2.5% in 2012 instead of the 2.8% originally planned. This goal is realistic? The responses of Gerard de Pouvourville economist and Chair of the Health Essec. Consultation with general practitioners rises to 23 euros. Drugs reimbursed at 35% will no longer be only 30%.

Among the austerity measures introduced on November 7, Francois Fillon announced a reduction in the rate of growth of health spending, reduced to 2.5% instead of 2.8% initially planned. For this, we need to find 500 million euros in additional savings, the details should be announced within the next ten days.This target is realistic? Above all, this rate of change is it tenable in the long run? The responses of Gerard de Pouvourville economist and Chair of the Health Essec.

The government announced a growth rate of Medicare spending reduced to 2.5% in 2012. This objective can be achieved?

Gerard de Pouvourville: This will not be easy. Certainly, the rate for 2010, 3% had been observed: the achievements were even below the target passed by the parliament! But the Court of Auditors has pointed out, this result was partly achieved through economic factors: favorable environment influenza, no significant revaluation fee for health professionals. We must see that the dynamics of spending on "long-term illness", supported 100% by Medicare, continues to be very strong.